21st Century Risk Modeling

Seminar Outline

  • Visualizing Uncertainty and Risk
        - Risk vs Uncertainty
        - Uncertain investments
        - Combinations of investments
    .    - Plans based on uncertainties
        - Interrelated uncertainties

  • 21st Century Portfolio Theory
        - Fat tails and black swans
        - Non linear interrelationships
        - Multi-period investment horizons
        - Downside risk

  • Wiring your Organization for Risk
        - Interactive Simulation: The New Light Bulb
        - Coherent DIST Libraries: The Power Grid
        - The Chief Probability Officer (CPO): The Electric Power Comissioner
animated spreadsheet demo











Download the interactive Morningstar portfolio model below
Excel 2003 (2.10 mb)   Excel 2007 (1.72 mb)
Note: Macros must be enabled